Selling Options » Options Trading Strategies http://sellingoptions.net Take the income up front Fri, 19 Mar 2010 18:08:37 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 en hourly 1 Options Trading Strategies – Book Review – Sheldon Natenberg, Option Volatility and Pricing http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-strategies-book-review-sheldon-natenberg-option-volatility-and-pricing http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-strategies-book-review-sheldon-natenberg-option-volatility-and-pricing#comments Sun, 17 Jan 2010 00:11:35 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-strategies-book-review-sheldon-natenberg-option-volatility-and-pricing As with most books on the topic of how to trade options, the amount of material to get through can be daunting. For example, with Sheldon Natenberg’s Option Volatility & Pricing, it is about 418 pages to digest.  There are adequate reader reviews on Amazon and Google Book Search, to help you decide if you will get the book. For those who have just started or are about to read the book, I’ve summarized the core concepts in the larger and essential chapters to help you get through them quicker.The number on the right of the title of the chapter is the number of pages contained within that chapter. It is not the page number.  The percentages represent how much each chapter makes up of the 418 pages in total, excluding appendices.1  The Language of Options.  12, 2.87%.2  Elementary Strategies.  22, 5.26%.3  Introduction to Theoretical Pricing Models.  16, 3.83%.4  Volatility.  30, 7.18%.5  Using an Option’s Theoretical Value.  14, 3.35%.6  Option Values and Changing Market Conditions.  32, 7.66%.7  Introduction to Spreading.  10, 2.39%.8  Volatility Spreads.  36, 8.61%.9  Risk Considerations.  26, 6.22%.10  Bull and Bear Spreads.  14, 3.35%.11  Option Arbitrage.  28, 6.70%.12  Early Exercise of American Options.  16, 3.83%.13  Hedging with Options.  16, 3.83%.14  Volatility Revisited.  28, 6.70%.15  Stock Index Futures and Options.  30, 7.18%.16  Intermarket Spreading.  22, 5.26%.17  Position Analysis.  32, 7.66%.18  Models and the Real World.  34, 8.13%.Focus on chapters 4, 6, 8, 9, 11, 14, 15, 17 and 18, which makes up about 66% of the book.  These chapters are relevant for practical trading purposes. Here are the key points for these focus chapters, which I’m summarizing from a retail option trader’s perspective.4  Volatility. Volatility as a measure of speed in context of price in/stability for a given product in a particular market.  Despite its shortcomings, the definition of volatility still defaults to these assumptions of the Black-Scholes Model: 1. Price changes of  a product remain random and cannot be engineered, making it impossible to predict price direction prior to its movement. 2. Percent changes in the product’s price are normally distributed.  3. As the product’s price percent changes are counted as continuously compounded, the product’s price on expiry will become lognormally distributed.  4. The lognormal distribution’s mean (mean reversion) is to be found in the product’s forward price.6  Option Values and Changing Market Conditions. Use of Delta in its 3 equivalent forms: Rate of Change, Hedge Ratio & Theoretical Equivalent of the  Position.  Treatment of Gamma as an option’s curvature to explain the opposite relationship of OTM/ITM strikes to the ATM strike having the highest Gamma. Dealing with the Theta-Gamma inverse relationship, as well as Theta being intertwined synthetically as long decay and short premium with Implied Volatility, as measured by Vega.8  Volatility Spreads. Emphasis is on the sensitivities of a Ratio Back Spread, Ratio Vertical Spread, Straddle/Strangle, Butterfly, Calendar, and Diagonal to Interest Rates, Dividends and the 4 Greeks with specific attention on the effects of Gamma and Vega.9  Risk Considerations. A sobering reminder to select spreads with the lowest aggregate risk spread versus the highest probability of profit.  Aggregate Risk as measured in terms of Delta (Directional Risk), Gamma (Curvature Risk), Theta (Decay/Premium Risk) and Vega (Volatility Risk).11  Option Arbitrage. Synthetic positions are explained in terms of manufacturing an equivalent risk profile of the original spread, using a mix of single options, other spreads and the underlying product. Clear caution that transforming trades into Conversions, Reversals and Adjustments are not risk-free; but, may raise the trade’s nearer-term risks even though the longer-term net risk is lowered.  There are material differences in the cash flows of being long options versus short options, arising from the Skew bias unique to a product and the interest rate built into Calls making them disparate against Puts.14  Volatility Revisited. Different expiry cycles between near-term versus longer-term options creates a longer-term volatility average, a mean volatility.   When volatility rises above its mean, there is relative certainty that it will revert to its mean. Likewise, mean reversion is highly likely as volatility drops below its mean. Gyration around the mean is an identifiable characteristic. Discernible volatility traits make it essential to forecast volatility in 30 day periods: 30-60-90-120 days, give the typical term to be short credit spreads between 30-45 and long debit spreads between 90-120 days.  Reconciling Implied Volatility as a measure of consensus volatility of all buyer/sellers for a given product, with inconsistencies in Historical Volatility and predictive constraints of Future Volatility.15  Stock Index Futures and Options. Effective use of Indexing to remove single stock risk.  Distinct treatment of the risks for stock-settled Indexes (including impact of dividend/exercise) separate from cash-settled Indices (absent of dividend/exercise).  Explains logic for Theoretically Pricing the options on Stock Index Futures, in addition to pricing the Futures contract itself, to determine which is economically viable to trade – the Futures contract itself or the options on the Futures.17  Position Analysis. A more robust method than just eye balling the Delta, Gamma, Vega and Theta of a position is to use the relevant Theoretical Pricing model (Bjerksund-Stensland, Black-Scholes, Binomial) to scenario test for changes in dates (daily/weekly) before expiration, % changes in Implied Volatility and price changes within and near +/- 1 Standard Deviation. These factors feeding the scenario tests, once graphed, reveal the relative ratios of Delta/Gamma/Vega/Theta risks in terms of their proportionality impacting the Theoretical Price of specific strikes making up the construction of a spread.18  Models and the Real World. Addresses the weaknesses of these core assumptions used in a traditional pricing model: 1. Markets are not frictionless: buying/selling an underlying contract has restrictions in terms of tax implications, limitation on funding and transaction costs. 2. Interest rates are variable, not constant over the option’s life. 3. Volatilty is variable, not constant over the options’ life. 4. Trading is not continous 24/7 – there are exchange holidays resulting in gaps in price changes.  5. Volatility is linked to Theoretical Price of the underlying contract, not independent of it. 6. Percentage of price changes in an underlying contract does not result in a lognormal distribution  of underlying prices at distribution due to Skew & Kurtosis.To conclude, reading these chapters is not academic. Understanding techniques discussed in the chapters must enable you to answer the following key questions.  In the total inventory of your trading account, if you are …

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-strategies-book-review-sheldon-natenberg-option-volatility-and-pricing/feed 0 Options Trading Strategies – Wrong Use of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility Crossovers http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-strategies-a%c2%80%c2%93-wrong-use-of-historical-volatility-and-implied-volatility-crossovers http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-strategies-a%c2%80%c2%93-wrong-use-of-historical-volatility-and-implied-volatility-crossovers#comments Mon, 04 Jan 2010 12:58:19 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-strategies-a%c2%80%c2%93-wrong-use-of-historical-volatility-and-implied-volatility-crossovers Not all volatilities are constructed equal.  It is critical to differentiate between Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility, so retail traders learn how to trade options focused on what is material to theoretically price option spreads forward.Historical Volatility (HV) measures past price movements of the underlying asset recording the asset’s actual or realized volatility.  The more commonly known type of HV is Statistical Volatility, which computes the underlying assets return over a finite but adjustable number of days.  Let me explain what “finite but adjustable” means.  You can vary the number of days to measure the Statistical Volatility: for example, 5-10-50-200 days, that’s how time-based moving averages and momentum/oscillator studies are built.  Though, it is not the case with Implied Volatility.Implied Volatility measures expected values by repetitively refining bid-ask estimates.  These estimates are based on the expectations of buyers and sellers. The buyers and sellers (85+% of floor traded volume is driven by institutions, floor traders and market makers) behind the bid and ask values, who do change their estimates within the day, as new information be it macro-economic news or micro-economic data impacting the underlying product becomes available.  What is being estimated is the underlying asset’s future fluctuation with certain assumptions embedded into the changes in information of the underlying.  That refinement of bid-ask estimates must be completed within finite time-bound option expiration periods. That’s why there are monthly and quarterly option expiration cycles. You cannot change these expiration periods, either by shortening or lengthening the number of days, to “construct” a time period that gives you faster or slower crossover indicators.Why point out the wrong use of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatiity Crossovers? It is to caution you against the defective use of  HV-IV crossovers, which is not a reliable trading signal.  Remember, for a given expiration month, there can only be one volatility over that specific period.  Implied Volatility must leave from where it is currently trading at, to converge at zero on expiration date. Implied Volatility (be it IV for ITM, ATM or OTM strikes) must return to zero on expiry; but, price can go anywhere (up, down or stay flat).To continually sell “overpriced” and buy “under priced” options would eventually cause the implied volatility of every single non-zero bid option to line up exactly.  Meaning the phenomenon of IV’s “smiling” skew disappears, as IV becomes perfectly flat. This hardly happens, especially in highly liquid products. Take for example, the SPY, a broad-based Index; or, GLD – the SPDR Shares ETF in a fast market like Gold. With open interest at the non-zero bid strikes going into the thousands and tens of thousands, do you really think a retail off the floor trader is going to be allowed to “out price” the professional hedger on the floor?  Unlikely. Calls and Puts in highly liquid products, are like items in an inventory with high supply because there is high demand.  This type of inventory does not get “mispriced” because floor traders have to make a daily living from trading the Calls and Puts –they will refuse to carry the risk of mispricing overnight.So, what are the key considerations to banking in your edge as a retail trader?

Where can I learn how to trade options with consistent profits focused on Implied Volatility without Historical Volatility? Follow the link below, entitled “Consistent Results” to see a model retail option trader’s portfolio that excludes the use of HV and focuses on trading only IV. I’ll cite these actual historical events, to bolster the argument for removing Historical Volatility from your trading process altogether.27 Feb, 2007: Widespread Panic from the sizeable China sell-off in equities. If you were trading the options of an index like the FXI which is the iShares product of China’s 25 largest and most liquid Chinese companies though listed in the US; but they are headquartered in China, you would have been impacted. While you can argue it’s possible to have market events recreate the ranges of the Dow, Nasdaq & S&P, how do you recreate the scenario of the VIX and VXN soaring 59% and 39%?22Jan, 2008: Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points prior to the scheduled policy meeting on Jan 30th, whereby the FOMC cut another 50 basis points on the date of the meeting.  If you were trading interest-rate sensitive sectors using the options on a Financial ETF or a Banking Index like the BKX; or, the Housing Index like the HGX, you would have been impacted. And in the current environment of rates being near zero, the FOMC while they still have a rate policy tool, they are unable to cut rates by the same number of basis points like before. What was a historical event is not successively repeatable going forward, not until rates are raised again and subsequently they get cut again.Question: How do you reconstruct history?  That is the history of events forming Historical Volatility.  The answer is in the real examples cited, as with any other financially related historical event – you cannot reconstruct history. You may be able to mimic parts of HV but you cannot repeat it in its entirety.  So, if you continue using HV-IV crossovers, you visually confuse yourself by searching for volatility “mispricing” patterns that you would like to see; but, you will end up with poor profit performance instead.  It makes more practical trading sense to focus purely on IV; then, diversify the trading of volatilities across multiple asset classes beyond equities.Where can I learn more about trading IV across multiple asset classes using only options, without having to own stock? Follow the link below (video-based course), that uses IV Mean Reversion/Mean Repulsion and IV Forecasting, as reliable methods to trade the implied volatilities across broad-based Equity Indexes, Commodity ETFs, Currency ETFs and Emerging Market ETFs.

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-strategies-a%c2%80%c2%93-wrong-use-of-historical-volatility-and-implied-volatility-crossovers/feed 0 Options Trading Mastery: Buyer Risk & Reward http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-buyer-risk-reward-2 http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-buyer-risk-reward-2#comments Sun, 03 Jan 2010 01:24:48 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-buyer-risk-reward-2 Like most trades, time spreads have a maximum loss for the buyer. You can only lose what you have spent. If you paid $1.00 for the spread, your maximum potential loss is $1.00. If you bought the spread for $2.00, the maximum potential loss is $2.00.
The buyer of a time spread will purchase the out-month option while selling the nearer month option of the same strike in a one-to-one ratio. Since the out-month option will have more time until expiration than the nearer month option, the out-month option will cost more. This means the buyer will put out money (debit spread) that makes sense. The buyer can only lose the amount of money they spent to purchase the spread. Thus, the buyer’s maximum risk is the cost of the spread.
The buyer can profit in several ways. First, as a time spread, the buyer can profit by the passage of time. Options are wasting assets. As the nearer month option decays more quickly than the outer-month option, the spread widens (increases in value) and the buyer sees a profit.
Second, implied volatility can increase. As implied volatility increases, the out-month option, which the buyer is long, increases in value more quickly (due to its higher Vega) than the nearer month option that the buyer is short. This will force the spread to widen or increase in value, which again is profitable for the buyer.
Third, the buyer can make money due to stock price movement. As stated before, a time spread’s value is at its maximum when the stock price and the spreads strike price are identical (at-the-money). You can have an increase in value if you own an out-of-the-money or in-the-money time spread, and the stock moves either up or down toward your strike. As the stock moves closer to your strike, the spread will expand and increase in value creating a profit for you, the buyer.
The buyer’s risks are obviously the opposite of the rewards. You cannot stop or reverse time, so the buyer of the spread can never be hurt by time. Implied volatility, however, can decrease as easily as it can increase. A decrease in implied volatility will decrease the value of the out-month option (which the buyer is long) faster than it will decrease the value of the nearer month option (which the buyer is short) due to the higher Vega of the out-month option. This will narrow the spread thereby creating a loss for the buyer.
In the same way that stock movement in the right direction can be profitable for the buyer of a time spread, stock movement in the wrong direction can be costly. As the stock moves away from the spread’s strike, the spread decreases in value. That will create a loss for the buyer of the spread.

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-buyer-risk-reward-2/feed 0 Options Trading Lesson: Seller Risk & Reward http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-seller-risk-reward-2 http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-seller-risk-reward-2#comments Sat, 02 Jan 2010 12:08:43 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-seller-risk-reward-2 The seller of a time spread buys the nearer month option and sells the outer-month option in a one-to-one ratio. To profit from the sale of the time spread, the seller must look for two things.
The first is a decrease in implied volatility. As volatility decreases, the out-month option (which the seller is short) loses money faster than the near month option (which the seller is long) because of the higher Vega in the out month option. This will cause the spread to contract or lose value and will be profitable for the time spread seller.
The second thing a seller should look for is a movement in stock. A time spread is at its widest, most expensive point when it is at-the-money. A movement away from the strike in either direction decreases the value of the spread. As long as the stock moves in either direction away from the strike, the seller’s position could be profitable if time decay does not outperform the stock movement.
Time, unfortunately, never works in favor of the time-spread seller. The nearer month option (which the seller is long) naturally decays at a faster rate than does the out-month option (which the seller is short). These differing decay rates cause the spread to expand and increase in value, which produces a loss for the time spread seller.
Increases in implied volatility are also detrimental to the potential profits of the time- spread seller. When implied volatility increases, the out month option (which the seller is short) increases in value faster than the near month option (which the seller is long). This is due to the out month option’s higher Vega which creates an expansion in the spread and increases its value resulting in a negative for the spread seller.
The seller, in theory, has an unlimited loss potential. The maximum loss potential is not so much determined by the stock price movement but by the movement in implied volatility. As the seller, you will be long the front month call and short the out-month call.
The out month call will be more sensitive to movements in implied volatility due to a higher Vega or volatility sensitivity component. If implied volatility increases, then the seller’s short, out month option will increase more in value than will the seller’s long, front month option. This will cause the spread to widen or increase in value – a negative for the seller.
The second risk is that the option the seller is long is going to expire approximately 30 days prior to the option the seller is short. If volatility does not decrease or the stock does not move away from the strike significantly before the seller’s long option expires, (s)he will be left short a naked or un-hedged option and a loss on the position.
If the seller can wait out the position, the lost extrinsic value of the short option is retainable. This option also has a limited life and must shed its extrinsic value, no matter how much, by its expiration. The problem facing the seller is that the position is no longer hedged and the seller now faces unlimited risk.
Once the long option expires leaving the seller short a now naked call, stock price movement in the wrong direction is a substantial risk and under the circumstances described above, a big problem.
While the seller can wait out an implied volatility movement that created an increase in extrinsic value, they will probably not be able to wait out a large, negative stock movement creating an increase in intrinsic value. In that case, the seller must take action to prevent substantial losses once the front month expires. Attention to the implied volatility in the farther out option when the nearer month option expires can save the seller from a large loss.

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-seller-risk-reward-2/feed 0 Options Trading Mastery: Buyer Risk & Reward http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-buyer-risk-reward http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-buyer-risk-reward#comments Thu, 17 Dec 2009 12:08:50 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-buyer-risk-reward Like most trades, time spreads have a maximum loss for the buyer. You can only lose what you have spent. If you paid $1.00 for the spread, your maximum potential loss is $1.00. If you bought the spread for $2.00, the maximum potential loss is $2.00.
The buyer of a time spread will purchase the out-month option while selling the nearer month option of the same strike in a one-to-one ratio. Since the out-month option will have more time until expiration than the nearer month option, the out-month option will cost more. This means the buyer will put out money (debit spread) that makes sense. The buyer can only lose the amount of money they spent to purchase the spread. Thus, the buyer’s maximum risk is the cost of the spread.
The buyer can profit in several ways. First, as a time spread, the buyer can profit by the passage of time. Options are wasting assets. As the nearer month option decays more quickly than the outer-month option, the spread widens (increases in value) and the buyer sees a profit.
Second, implied volatility can increase. As implied volatility increases, the out-month option, which the buyer is long, increases in value more quickly (due to its higher Vega) than the nearer month option that the buyer is short. This will force the spread to widen or increase in value, which again is profitable for the buyer.
Third, the buyer can make money due to stock price movement. As stated before, a time spread’s value is at its maximum when the stock price and the spreads strike price are identical (at-the-money). You can have an increase in value if you own an out-of-the-money or in-the-money time spread, and the stock moves either up or down toward your strike. As the stock moves closer to your strike, the spread will expand and increase in value creating a profit for you, the buyer.
The buyer’s risks are obviously the opposite of the rewards. You cannot stop or reverse time, so the buyer of the spread can never be hurt by time. Implied volatility, however, can decrease as easily as it can increase. A decrease in implied volatility will decrease the value of the out-month option (which the buyer is long) faster than it will decrease the value of the nearer month option (which the buyer is short) due to the higher Vega of the out-month option. This will narrow the spread thereby creating a loss for the buyer.
In the same way that stock movement in the right direction can be profitable for the buyer of a time spread, stock movement in the wrong direction can be costly. As the stock moves away from the spread’s strike, the spread decreases in value. That will create a loss for the buyer of the spread.

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-buyer-risk-reward/feed 0 Options Trading Lesson: Seller Risk & Reward http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-seller-risk-reward http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-seller-risk-reward#comments Wed, 16 Dec 2009 13:34:22 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-seller-risk-reward The seller of a time spread buys the nearer month option and sells the outer-month option in a one-to-one ratio. To profit from the sale of the time spread, the seller must look for two things.
The first is a decrease in implied volatility. As volatility decreases, the out-month option (which the seller is short) loses money faster than the near month option (which the seller is long) because of the higher Vega in the out month option. This will cause the spread to contract or lose value and will be profitable for the time spread seller.
The second thing a seller should look for is a movement in stock. A time spread is at its widest, most expensive point when it is at-the-money. A movement away from the strike in either direction decreases the value of the spread. As long as the stock moves in either direction away from the strike, the seller’s position could be profitable if time decay does not outperform the stock movement.
Time, unfortunately, never works in favor of the time-spread seller. The nearer month option (which the seller is long) naturally decays at a faster rate than does the out-month option (which the seller is short). These differing decay rates cause the spread to expand and increase in value, which produces a loss for the time spread seller.
Increases in implied volatility are also detrimental to the potential profits of the time- spread seller. When implied volatility increases, the out month option (which the seller is short) increases in value faster than the near month option (which the seller is long). This is due to the out month option’s higher Vega which creates an expansion in the spread and increases its value resulting in a negative for the spread seller.
The seller, in theory, has an unlimited loss potential. The maximum loss potential is not so much determined by the stock price movement but by the movement in implied volatility. As the seller, you will be long the front month call and short the out-month call.
The out month call will be more sensitive to movements in implied volatility due to a higher Vega or volatility sensitivity component. If implied volatility increases, then the seller’s short, out month option will increase more in value than will the seller’s long, front month option. This will cause the spread to widen or increase in value – a negative for the seller.
The second risk is that the option the seller is long is going to expire approximately 30 days prior to the option the seller is short. If volatility does not decrease or the stock does not move away from the strike significantly before the seller’s long option expires, (s)he will be left short a naked or un-hedged option and a loss on the position.
If the seller can wait out the position, the lost extrinsic value of the short option is retainable. This option also has a limited life and must shed its extrinsic value, no matter how much, by its expiration. The problem facing the seller is that the position is no longer hedged and the seller now faces unlimited risk.
Once the long option expires leaving the seller short a now naked call, stock price movement in the wrong direction is a substantial risk and under the circumstances described above, a big problem.
While the seller can wait out an implied volatility movement that created an increase in extrinsic value, they will probably not be able to wait out a large, negative stock movement creating an increase in intrinsic value. In that case, the seller must take action to prevent substantial losses once the front month expires. Attention to the implied volatility in the farther out option when the nearer month option expires can save the seller from a large loss.

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-seller-risk-reward/feed 0 Options Trading Lesson: Spread Trading http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-spread-trading http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-spread-trading#comments Thu, 10 Dec 2009 00:57:44 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-spread-trading In options trading, there are some basic lessons that are the backbone of many other successful options trading strategies. How to engage in spread trading in options trading to enhance potential gains is one of these lessons.
Spread trading is a foundational tool that you should have in your options trading toolkit. It will allow you freedom and flexibility for enhanced profit and will give you defense against potential loss while reducing your overall risk. Now, let us look at this fundamental of options trading, the spread trade.
We have demonstrated how well options function in unison with a stock position. They enhance potential gains, provide profit protection and limit the risk of the entire investment. They enable us to manage risk in a single stock as well as an entire portfolio. But, as good as options are in conjunction with stocks, they can be even better when traded against each other.
Spreads are strategies that do not involve the use of any security other than another option. Their positives are that they are inexpensive, offer protection for both buyer and seller and are in effect automatically hedged trades.
Spreads can provide large percentage returns with low risk and can be entered into with small capital outlay. A spread involves the purchase of one option in conjunction with the sale of another option. There are many types of spreads. Some take advantage of stock movements while others are set up to take advantage of movements in implied volatility and even time decay. There are calendar or time spreads, diagonal spreads, ratio spreads and also vertical spreads, which we will discuss in depth here.
Spreads are more advanced and sophisticated than the strategies discussed in our beginner product ‘OPTIONS 101.’ Where certain spreads, like 1 to 1 vertical spreads, can be less risky than a buy-write, there are more variables to consider and control which makes trading the spread more complicated.
When you trade a spread you are dealing with three elements: the spread as a whole (which you can buy or sell) and its component parts – the option you buy and the option you sell.
Although the cost of most spreads is relatively inexpensive to initiate, they can provide a large percentage return and there is protection (limits) to both sides of the trade. Therefore, even experienced investors can profit from learning about spreads and their investment potential.

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-lesson-spread-trading/feed 0 Options Trading Mastery: Construction of the Time Spread http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-construction-of-the-time-spread http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-construction-of-the-time-spread#comments Tue, 08 Dec 2009 12:19:16 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-construction-of-the-time-spread Time spreads, also known as calendar spreads, are an ideal way to take advantage of time decay and changes in implied volatility. Time spread strategy focuses on the movement of time and volatility more than on the movement of the stock. Therefore, it is perfect for when you anticipate stagnant or explosive periods in a stock.
Time spreads, like other spreads, have their own risks and rewards. The risks are very limited for the buyer, but substantial for the seller. The seller’s risk can be avoided or contained with due diligence at the expiration of the near month’s option. Several strategies can affect the seller’s risk. The advantage of the time spread strategy is that the investor can pursue a time decay or volatility position without the large capital outlay necessary for the purchase of the stock.
The construction of the time spread involves the purchase of one option and the sale of another in different months with both having the same strike. You can construct a time spread using either two calls or two puts. A long time spread is constructed by purchasing the out month option and selling the nearer month option. For example, you buy the September 45 call, sell the August 45 call or buy April 30 puts, and sell February 30 puts. You can construct a short time spread by selling the farther out month and buying the nearer month. For instance, sell July 50 calls and buy May 50 calls.
The important elements in the construction of the time spread are: using two call or put options on the same stock, using the same strike for both, choosing different months for each and using a one to one ratio. A one to one ratio means that you must purchase one option for every one you sell or sell one option for every one you buy. A time spread can utilize any two months as long as it has the same strike price and the trade is in a one to one ratio.
Most time spreads are executed at-the-money because at-the-money options have the greatest amount of extrinsic value. An option’s extrinsic value is what decays over time. This is the basis of the time spread’s strategy. Since the time spread is built to take advantage of time decay, it is better suited for at-the-money options. This does not mean that you cannot use the time spread with in-the-money or out-of-the-money options. In-the-money and out-of-the-money options have less extrinsic value than at-the-money options.
The rate of decay of an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option with one month until expiration is still greater than an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option of the same strike that has three months to go before expiration. This being said, the time spread can be constructed using any option regardless if it is in, out, or at-the-money.

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-construction-of-the-time-spread/feed 0 Lessons in Options Trading Strategies – The Lean http://sellingoptions.net/lessons-in-options-trading-strategies-the-lean http://sellingoptions.net/lessons-in-options-trading-strategies-the-lean#comments Tue, 01 Dec 2009 01:41:18 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/lessons-in-options-trading-strategies-the-lean Professional traders use the term lean to refer to one’s perception about the directional strength of the stock. When you own a stock and intend to hold it for a period of time, you are aware that you will probably be holding it while it goes up and while it goes down.
This means that at any given moment in time, you might have a different opinion of the potential movement of that stock. Knowing this, there is a way to address your present level of confidence or ‘lean.’ You do this by your choice of which option you sell.
While it is true that the at-the-money option has the most amount of extrinsic value, it might not always be the ideal option to sell in every situation.
For instance, if you feel that the stock itself has a very high chance of producing capital appreciation above the potential amount of premium you could receive from selling an at-the-money call, then sell an out-of-the-money-call so you can allow yourself a little more room to the upside on the stock.
For example, let’s say the stock is trading at $27.00. Normally, you would sell the 27.5 calls at say $1.00. If the stock were to rise quickly and eclipse the $28.50 mark, then with the buy-write strategy, your position would have maxed out at $28.50, and you would have a $1.50 one month gain. Not bad, but if the stock went to $29.50 then you would have missed out on
another $1.00 profit. However, if we had sold the 30 calls for $.30 then we would have another outcome. You bought the stock at $27.00 and sold the 30 calls for $.30 and the stock goes to $29.50.
You would have made $2.50 in capital appreciation and $.30 in option premium for a total of a $2.80 return.
So, if you feel the stock has a real good shot at taking a run up, you can lean your position long by selling an out-of-the-money call.
If you have a more neutral view on your stock you would sell an at-the-money-call in order to receive a bigger premium which allows for greater downside protection if the stock trades down and higher potential profit if the stock becomes stagnant.
This strategy also works on the downside. If, by chance, you feel that the stock may trade down a bit during the life of the option, then you can sell an in-the-money-call. The effect of this would be to provide you with a little extra premium to cover more downside risk.
Remember when you sell an option you seek to capture extrinsic value. An in-the-money option not only has extrinsic value but also some intrinsic value.
When you feel that you want to lean your covered call strategy (buy-write) a little short, choose to sell an in-the-money call so you can also have some intrinsic value to cover your downside.
As an example, say your stock is trading at $29.00 and you feel that your stock may trade down a little but still remain in an uptrend cycle. You don’t want to get rid of the stock but you also don’t want to lose any money so you sell the 27.5 call at $2.00.
The stock starts to trade down and finishes at $26.00. If you had owned the stock naked, then you would have lost three dollars since you owned the stock at $29.00 and it closed at $26.00 on expiration.
However, because you sold the 27.5 calls at $2.00, you would only realize a $1.00 loss in the stock. The premium received will offset the loss due to the fact that you identified and adjusted for a likely move.
As you can see, the buy-write strategy can be altered to fit any directional view you have on your selected stock.
Finally, if you intend to use the buy-write strategy
successfully, you generally need to sell the calls against your stock on a consistent, recurring interval, over a period of time.
This means that you will have to be prepared to ‘roll’ your calls out to the next month come expiration. Sometimes, all you’ll need to do is to sell the next month out call.

]]> http://sellingoptions.net/lessons-in-options-trading-strategies-the-lean/feed 0 Options Trading Mastery: Time Decay and Volatility Trading Opportunities http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-time-decay-and-volatility-trading-opportunities http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-time-decay-and-volatility-trading-opportunities#comments Mon, 30 Nov 2009 01:15:19 +0000 admin http://sellingoptions.net/options-trading-mastery-time-decay-and-volatility-trading-opportunities When vertical spreads are mentioned, they quite often come with monikers such as ‘bull’ and ‘bear’. This lends most to think of vertical spreads as directional plays which is true. However, vertical spreads can be used to take advantage of two other potential trading opportunities – time decay and volatility movement.
If you are looking for a fully hedged way to take advantage of time decay, a vertical spread can be an excellent tool. Knowing a little about them now, you will recall that a vertical spread has a limited profit potential but also a limited loss scenario for both the buyer and the seller. So, how do we use this covered trade to take advantage of time decay.
At-the-money options have more extrinsic value than their similar month in-the-money or out-of-the-money options. Since it is an option’s extrinsic value that decays away over time, you could set up a vertical spread by selling an at-the-money option and buying either the out-of-the-money option (creating a credit spread) or buying an in-the-money option (creating a debit spread). If the stock holds tight to the out-of-the-money option, the option’s extrinsic value will decay away at a faster rate than either the in-the-money option or the out-of-the-money option due to the fact that the at-the-money option has more total extrinsic value to decay in the same amount of time as the others.
Creating the vertical spread by selling an at-the-money option and buying an out-of-the-money or in-the-money option as a hedge looks like a good idea, but now there are a couple choices. Should you do the put spread or the call spread? Should you buy it or sell it? The decision of what to do from here should first be based on which way you think the stock will move. Although you are playing for time decay and you are assuming an overall lack of movement, you can’t expect the stock not to move at all. So even though you are playing time decay, you still want to form an opinion about in which direction the stock is most likely to move. By doing this, you’ve now give yourself another way of making the trade profitable. You are playing for a lack of movement but now you can still win if you pick the right direction. This scenario presents you with two ways to win and only one to lose.
Now that you have picked which at-the-money strike you are going to sell and you’ve picked your anticipated stock position you still have a decision to make. Do you do the call vertical spread or the put vertical spread? Remember both the vertical call spread and a vertical put spread allow you to participate in either stock direction. For the bulls, you can buy a vertical call spread or sell a vertical if you think that the stock will go up. For the bears, you can buy a vertical put spread or sell a vertical call spread. For each direction there are two choices to decide from. One is a purchase, one is a sale. The best way to decide which to do, other than your own style or comfort ability is a simple risk/reward analysis.
By selecting an at-the-money option to sell as part of a vertical spread, an investor can execute a time decay play with a hedged position.
Much in the same way that a vertical spread can be used as a time decay play, it can be used as a volatility play. We stated earlier that an at-the-money option has more extrinsic value than any other option in its expiration month. This is due to a number of contributing factors including time but it is in no small way due to volatility. Volatility is a huge component of an option’s extrinsic value. An option’s dollar sensitivity to movements in implied volatility is known as vega. Obviously, an at-the-money option will have a higher vega (volatility sensitivity) then will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option in the same month.
As volatility increases, the at-the-money option will increase in price to a greater degree than will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option in the same month. As volatility increases, the at-the-money option will increase in price to a greater degree then will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option whose vega’s will be less. Conversely, the at-the-money option will lose value at a greater rate than an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option should implied volatility decrease. The question now is how to use the vertical spread to take advantage of anticipated movements in implied volatility. Remember, the vertical spread affords you the luxury of being hedged on either side of the trade – both as a buyer and a seller of the spread.
So, if you think that implied volatility is likely to increase, you can set up a vertical spread by buying an at-the-money option and selling either the in-the-money or out-of-the-money option against it. Conversely, if you feel implied volatility will decrease; you can set up a vertical spread by selling an at-the-money option and buy either an out-of-the-money or an in-the-money option against it.
As to how to set it up, you would follow the same guidelines as you would for setting up a vertical spread to take advantage of time decay. Decide which direction you feel the stock would most likely move. If you feel the stock would most likely rise, you will have to decide between buying a vertical call spread and selling a vertical put spread.
Either way, the spread will have to be constructed with the at-the-money option being long if you feel volatility will increase or short if you feel volatility will decrease. If you feel the stock would most likely fall, you will have to decide between buying a vertical put spread and selling a vertical call spread. Again, either way, the spread will have to be constructed with the short option being the at-the-money.
As you can see, the vertical spread does not have to be used only in directional scenarios. It is very versatile allowing the investor several choices among a diverse group of potential uses. It also affords limited risk, albeit limited profit potential, to both the buyer and the seller.

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