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The 10 Keys to Successful Stock Options Trading Key #6

admin — Sun, 17 Jan 2010 00:11:36 +0000

Welcome again to the 10 keys of how to trade stock options successfully. Previously we have discussed the technicalities of options trading. This week I will start looking at the more esoteric aspects of trading beginning with how to formulate a trading plan.

It is imperative you trade with a plan. No trader has ever successfully prospered without a trading plan or with a plan that they didnt stick to. A sound trading plan includes, but is not limited to, the following items:

1. Money management rules, i.e. acceptable profits and losses per trade, how much capital you will commit to any one trade and to the market at any one time.

It is important you identify what your stop loss margin is (as discussed last week) and even more important you stick to it. Writing this sort of information into your trading plan will help cement it in your mind. More on money management will be covered in week eight.

2. Stock and option identification rules, i.e. how you will decide which stocks to trade options on and which options you will trade.

You should figure out if you like technical analysis, fundamental anlysis or a combination of both. How big will your watch list be? What price range of stocks will you trade? Do you like trading in the money or out of the money options? What Greeks will you consider?

3. Entry and exit rules, i.e. What will make you enter and exit a trade, what length of time will you stay in the trade and how often will you trade.

Entry and exit rules will depend largely on technical analysis, write down the patterns and indicators you will look for. Deciding how often to trade will be a big factor in your success. Most people over trade, if you have a fixed profit target then once you have met it you should stop trading. Attempting to go for that little bit extra can lead to a big loss, all the more difficult to take if you had already met your profit target!

4. Your own strategy rules, i.e. which trading strategies you will use primarily and which strategies suit your risk profile.

Know thyself as the ancient Greek saying goes is critical when formulating a stock options trading plan. You will tend to trade options and you do anything else in life, for example, if you are cautious by nature you will trade cautiously, if you are impatient in everyday life you will trade impatiently. Therefore consider your unique traits and formulate your plan around them.

Once you have practiced trading options you will discover your own style of trading, and from that you will develop a plan that suits you. Once you have your plan, and you know it works, stick to it through thick and thin. That doesnt mean that a plan cant be changed but you must ensure that you give your plan a chance to work and that you dont change it the first time you take a loss.

Once you formulate and implement a good trading plan you will be well on your to trading stock options successfully. Next week we will discuss trading with the overall market and index options.

US Government required disclaimer: Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Copies of this document may be obtained from your broker, from any exchange on which options are traded or by contacting The Options Clearing Corporation, One North Wacker Dr., Suite 500 Chicago, IL 60606 (1-800-678-4667).

Option Trading: Thinking “Outside the Box”

admin — Sat, 16 Jan 2010 00:13:45 +0000

Wouldn’t it be great if we could buy an option with five months left until expiration and sell an option with 2 months left until expiration for the same price? You couldn’t lose. Well we can’t. I love options spreads so much I realized something very important. We can buy a spread that has a lot of time value left at almost the same price as we can sell one with less time value left. The reason really opened my eyes and gave me new insight into options. Here is what I came to realize.
I started comparing how expensive options were in relation to the other strike prices in the same month and to the other months. I wanted to know based on th e price per day which options were more expensive.
The first 1 or 2 option months, as everyon e knows loses time value quickly. The at the money strike prices are very expensive compared to the out of the mon ey strike prices. Since there is not that much time left, how much can they charge for an out of the money option? Not much.
The next several months, the opposite is true. Compared to each other, the strikes that are closer to the money are cheaper in terms of price per day than the options further out of the money. Let me explain it another way using the S&P market.
6 days left at the money option cost 12 points
6 days left out of the money option cost 2 points
70 days left at the money option cost 43 points
70 days left out of the money option cost 29 points
There is more than 10X the time left but the 70 day at the money option (43 points) is only less than 4X the price than the 6 day at the money option (12 points).
The 70 day out of the money option (29 points) is almost 15X the cost of the 6 day out of the money option (2 points) but only has 10X the time value. We will buy the cheaper options and sell the more expensive ones.
Sell 6 day at the money and sell 70 day out of the money. Buy 6 day out of the money and buy 70 day at the money. This will be done for a 4 point debit. We are now buying a spread that has 10X more time value than the one we are selling and are only paying 4 points for it.
When the 6 day options expire we can sell the next month to take in more premium, still keeping the 70 day option spread.
What goes up, must come down! We have all heard this befo re in reference to the laws of Gravity. We have laws in the commodity markets as well. What comes down, must go up! The greatest traders of our time like War ren Buffet know this. He is perhaps the greatest Stock trader ever. He had never traded commodities until a few years ago. He bought silver in the futures market. When the market went even lower he bought more. The “smart money”, commercials will not be scared into selling when a market they have purchased drops even further. They know better than anyone that a commodity has real value and will always be worth something.
There is a famous book, “You Can’t Lose Trading Commodities”. The author buys commodities and then just waits for the market to go higher. He would purchase more as the market fell.
You need a big bankroll for this. Personally I know corn won’t go to $1.00 but what if it did? I want to minimize the risk in case I want to end the trade.
I started trading the Soy Complex this way several years ago. Not with options. Strictly futures. I bought what was similar to a crush spread. I increased the contracts as the market went against me until the spread rebounded a little. Since I increased the contracts I didn’t need the market to come back to where I started. It only had to rebound to the next level.
Black Jack players did this until Casinos caught on and put limits on bets. It is a known fact that futures traders make good gamblers and professional gamblers make good futures traders. I am against gambling but even gambling done with a system is not really gambling.
These card players would bet something like this: $5 lose, $10 lose, $20 lose, $40 lose, $80 win. The losses add up to $75. They would win $80, so the profit is $5. Not a lot, but they would do this all day. Black Jack is just under 50% probability for the player.
The problem is there is a slight chance that you could lose 40 times in a row. Now with Commodities we have a 50% probability and we won’t lose 50 times in a row because the market can’t go b elow zero.
Now before I go an y further, I need to tell you that I am not recommending you double down on your trades. What you can find are mark ets that are near their lows where you can do a small scale trade. Spreads offer even better opportunities. They have a closer range (high to low).
By now you can see we only use this to go long a market since we can never b e sure how much a market can go higher. First we need to find a market that is low already so we won’t have to wait that long and also so there will be less capital needed. I prefer to trade this using options. There are many ways to do this. You could buy an option in a market like soybeans and choose how many cents the market will drop before you buy more. The problem is, an option is a wasting asset. The Theta (time decay) would cause you to lose money.
I use spreads so I am not paying for time decay. I will probably sell more Theta than I buy, so if the market does nothing I will make money just on time decay.

The 10 Keys to Successful Stock Options Trading ‘ Key #8

admin — Fri, 15 Jan 2010 12:09:01 +0000

Hello, this is week eight in my ten week series on how to trade options successfully. This week we are going to discuss saving.

Savigs is one of the most critical parts to any successfuly financial strategy; if you spend your gains as soon as you have them you will never reach true wealth. It is only by the miracle of compound interest that your gains will truly turn into a fortune.

Compound interest is the process whereby annual returns are added to the original investment and reinvested, rather than being spent or taken out, thereby creating a larger amount to invest again, as this process is repeated the compounding exponentially increases the returns over the lifetime of the investment. For example if you invest $10,000 a 20% return increases your portfolio to $12,000. A 20% return on that increases your portfolio to $14,400, 20% on that is $17,280, 20% on that is $20,736 and 20% on that is $24,883 which is a total return of $14,883.

Now assume as soon as you made the original 20% return you took it out and spent it, your next 20% return would only be the same $2000 on your $10,000 investment. If you kept doing this 5 times your total return would only be $10,000, $4,883 or almost 50% LESS than if you left your money in your account. The longer you leave your money in your account the more pronounced your returns will be and the greater the effects of compounding will be.

Einstein once said “Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world”. When applied to options trading we can replace the word “interest” with “return on investment”. That means if you are winning and have a good return on your investment don’t take out the profits in your account to spend on a new boat, car or house. Re-invest your profits and if you are doing everything correctly the miracle of compounding returns will exponentially increase the size of your portfolio.

This is only a short article this week. Next week we have a lot to discuss when we talk about money management.

The 10 Keys to Successful Stock Options Trading ‘ Key #8

admin — Fri, 15 Jan 2010 00:30:51 +0000

Hello, this is week eight in my ten week series on how to trade options successfully. This week we are going to discuss saving.

This is only a short article this week. Next week we have a lot to discuss when we talk about money management.

Forex Options Trading – How Forex Options are Calculated (part 2 of 2)

admin — Sat, 02 Jan 2010 00:10:35 +0000

In the last article, you have learn about “delta” . Let us continue…

Gamma: Gamma is derived from Delta is the odds of a change in Delta. It also informs in advance if the Delta could be changing. Gammas are positive for both the call and put. When options are deep in the money of deep out of the money the Gammas will be near zero as the probability of a change in Delta are very low. Likewise at strike price the Gamma would likely to e the highest.

Theta: Time decay is reflected in the option position as Theta. Options bought have negative Theta, which means that each day you do not sell that option, the time value is declining because of the time decay. In this case, time decay is making it worse for the buyer of the option. When you sell options, Theta is positive, meaning that time decay is good for the option seller.

Vega: How volatility affects the option pricing is reflected in the in Vega. In other words, its sensitivity to volatility. Options tend to have price increases when the underlying asset’s volatility increases. In this case, volatility is good for the buyer of an option and bad for the seller of an option. Vega is positive for long option and negative for short option.

Rho: Rho is how interest rates affect the pricing of the the option. When interest rates are high and it is good for the position, Rho will be positive. If interest rates are high but bad for the option position, Rho will be negative.

Forex Options Trading – What is Forex? (part 1 of 2)

admin — Fri, 11 Dec 2009 12:36:24 +0000

Forex or foreign Exchange or FX involves the buying and selling of one currency against another currency. They are always traded in pairs e.g. EUR/USD, USD/JPY. So when you are buying Euro dollars (EUR) you are also selling the US dollars (USD) in exchange for the Euro dollars. If you want to buy US dollars then you would sell the Euro dollars in exchange for buying the US dollars.

An example that we would encounter frequently is when we travel overseas and need to exchange the local currency for the foreign destination currency and we would head to the local money changer or bank to buy the foreign currency. This is a good example that we are familiar with.

By buying and selling currencies at the money changer or bank we are already involved in this huge foreign exchange market. Banks and central banks, investment funds, hedge funds, exporters and importers, companies and retail forex traders are among the main participants in the forex market.

Banks trade to generate profits and also act as buyers and sellers of one currency against another for their clients trading and commercial transaction. While central banks buy and sell currencies to hold as reserves and protect the reserves. They also act to moderate their country’s currency strength to facilitate reasonable terms of trade in the international markets for their exports and imports.

Investment funds have a percentage of their portfolio in the forex market for many reasons like diversification, hedging, etc. While most hedge funds will speculate on currencies as it is the biggest market in the world thus able to accommodate their large trading size which is quite difficult to do in the equities or futures market.

To be continue.. at – Forex Options Trading – What is Forex? (Part 2 of 2)

Forex Options Trading – 9 Reasons on Why You Must Trade Forex (part 2 of 2)

admin — Fri, 11 Dec 2009 00:16:55 +0000

In the last article on “9 Reasons on Why You Must Trade Forex (Part 1 of 2)” You have understand the:

1. Round the clock trading 2. No need to choose from too many counters 3. Liquidity 4. Good Leverage

Next you will understand more on why you must trade forex.

5. No Brokerage fee or commission

Forex brokers mostly make from the spread between the bid and ask prices. Unlike other stock brokers where on top of the spread between the bid and ask prices, they will charge a commission based on the percentage of total value of contract.

6. Able to short currencies

In forex, there is no restriction on short selling as all currencies are traded in pairs. i.e. you buy or sell one currency against another unlike stocks and shares. Without the restrictions, a trader can react quickly to the changing dynamics of the market unlike in the equities market where short selling is discouraged or made inconvenient to do.

7. Minimum investment

You can start trading in forex from as little as USD200. The amount is dependent on the broker you are opening an account with. This is due to the leverage a trader can obtain from the broker which allows such low minimum deposit.

8. Trade globally

With the overwhelming prevalence of internet and the many easily accessible forex trading platform provided by the forex brokers, we can now trade anytime and anywhere in the world as long as we have access to the internet.

9. Unlimited Real time Demo Account Practice

Most forex brokers will allow you to open a demo trading account to practice your strategy and also get familiar with their trading platform. What this means is that you do not have to paper trade. It allows you to get as close and as real as trading in the real market without losing a cent first.

Forex Options Trading can do a very good model for people who want to do Forex Trading. What you need is a right system, the willingness to work and determination to not give until you reach your goal. If you are willing to take action, then this Forex Trading is suitable for you.

Forex Options Trading – How to Read Forex Price Quotes (part 1 of 3)

admin — Wed, 09 Dec 2009 01:23:59 +0000

When you start trading in the Foreign Exchange market, you will notice that the prices for either buying or selling a currency pair always come in a pair of price quotes. One is called the ‘Bid’ (or Sell) and the other is called the ‘Ask’ (or Buy). You will notice the same in any other investment/trading products (e.g. equities, commodities, etc.). The price that you buy a currency pair is reflected in the Ask price while the price that you sell a currency pair is reflected in the Bid price.

The Ask price or selling price of a currency pair is always the higher one in a price quote. While the Bid price or buying price is the price at which you buy the currency pair. What this means is that you will always buy at the higher price and sell at the lower price of a price quote.

You will notice that between the Bid and Ask price there is a difference and this difference is what we call the “Spread”. The spread is the cost of the trade or transaction. Usually this is the only cost for the trader as most forex brokers nowadays (due to competition on the internet) do not levy any additional commissions unlike when you are trading on other investment markets like equities, etc.

At the beginning it may seem confusing for a beginner as when we purchase something only 1 price is given to us. However, beginners just have to remember that you will always have to buy at the higher price of the 2 prices while selling a currency pair you would have to remember that it is the lower of the 2 prices. It doesn’t make sense for the broker to sell you at a lower price and then buy back from you at a higher price.

To be continue… on Forex Options Trading – How To Read FOREX Price Quotes (Part 2 of 3)

Forex Options Trading – Trade Forex Options in 7 Easy Steps!

admin — Sun, 06 Dec 2009 00:50:53 +0000

FACT: 95% of forex trader do not know what is forex options, 4% of forex trader know what is forex options but they think that forex options was too complicated for them and only 1% use forex options for trading.

Why Forex Options? Options allow you to have the right but no obligation to either buy a call option or sell a put option which is an asset at the certain price as known as the strike price on the certain date too. Right in buying or selling the underlying asset, you will pay a premium upfront to the seller of the options, whether you choose to use it or exercise the right. It is all dependent upon the market movement at the time the options exipres.

I will show you What is Forex Options in 7 Easy steps….

What is a Call Options?

Call Option give the options holder, in return for paying a premium, the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset at a specified price within a specifie timeframe.

What is a Put Options?

Put Option give the option holder, in return for paying a premium, the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a specified price within a specific timeframe.

What is a Strike Price?

Strike price is prices at which an options holder cab buy or sell underlying instrument. Strike price are also called the exercise price.

What is a Value Date?

Value date is the date when the settlement of funds for a trade transaction will take place on your account. In Forex, the value is usually two banking days from when the trade is executed.

What is an Exercise Date?

You will exercise an option when you invoke the right to purchase or sell the underlying asset at the price stated in the option contract.

What is an Expiration Date?

The expiration date is the day which the option expires. Options that can only be exercised on the expiration date are called European options.

What is Forex Vanilla Option?

Forex Vanilla Option is an ordinary option with no special features unlike stock or future options.

As a Forex Options Trader myself, it is easy to take the advantage on the forex market. Even if the market move up or down, you will be able to profit from that. Different strategy will get different amount of premium.

As a saying… Past different from present, present different from future. Market undergoing change. Profitable strategies become detrimental. But Forex Option Trading always stay.

Forex Options Trading – How to Read Forex Price Quotes (part 2 of 3)

admin — Sat, 28 Nov 2009 00:20:01 +0000

To read a forex price quote consisting of two different currencies you have to note that the first currency is known as the base currency while the second currency is called the quote currency. Another point of note is that the first currency value is always 1 (one).

To further illustrate, the price quote or exchange rate tells us how much of the quote currency we must pay to obtain one unit of the base currency. Likewise. The price quote or exchange rate tells us how much we will receive in the quote currency by selling one unit of the base currency.

For example, if you wanted to buy the EUR/USD a price quote of EUR/USD of 1.3550 means that 1 EURO dollar (EUR) is equal to 1.3550 US dollars (USD). This means that to buy 1 EURO dollar (EUR), you would have to pay 1.3550 US dollars (USD).

In the above case, if the currency pair’s prices rises (i.e. the EUR/USD price goes up) it would mean that the EURO dollar (EUR) has appreciated against the US dollar (USD) which has weakened. If the EUR/USD has now risen to 1.3850 from 1.3550 it will mean that the EURO dollar is stronger now compared to the US dollar (USD) as 1 EURO dollar can buy more US dollars (USD) than before.

Likewise if the EUR/USD has now dropped to 1.3350 from 1.3550 it will mean that the EURO dollar has become weaker relative to the US dollars as 1 EURO dollar now can only purchase lesser US dollars

To be continue… on Forex Options Trading – How To Read FOREX Price Quotes (Part 3 of 3)